Gulliford to DIA: Cut 'the fluff' and do something

Started by thelakelander, November 05, 2013, 09:43:28 AM

fieldafm

Quote from: CityLife on November 05, 2013, 03:52:05 PM
No like the voter turnout by georgraphy and race. I think the TU has it, but its behind a firewall.

It doesn't matter if those 37,316 people were white, black, brown, pink or purple.

At the time, I thought that Brown was making a mistake only going after his base.  Turns out the only mistake made, was that Hogan didnt do nearly enough to encourage his base to go out and vote.

That's the story of the 2011 election.

CityLife

Quote from: fieldafm on November 05, 2013, 03:55:21 PM
Quote from: CityLife on November 05, 2013, 03:52:05 PM
No like the voter turnout by georgraphy and race. I think the TU has it, but its behind a firewall.

It doesn't matter if those 37,316 people were white, black, brown, pink or purple.

At the time, I thought that Brown was making a mistake only going after his base.  Turns out the only mistake made, was that Hogan didnt do nearly enough to encourage his base to go out and vote.

That's the story of the 2011 election.

It does in the context of how this discussion started. Another poster said that Brown only won because of the African American vote of the NW side. I don't believe that to be true (though he likely did get a  significant vote there).

Brown definitely didn't only go after his base. He appealed heavily to the white populations in the in town neighborhoods and to those that care about downtown. Quite a few republican MJ posters voted for Brown over Hogan that normally wouldn't and I personally know about 20 or so that did as well.

http://www.metrojacksonville.com/forum/index.php/topic,12242.660.html

I suspect he won't get nearly as many of these voters, unless another Hogan comes along.

fieldafm

The numbers don't lie.

The oft told narrative about Alvin Brown's ascent into power, does.

CityLife

#18
Quote from: fieldafm on November 05, 2013, 04:48:03 PM
The numbers don't lie.

The oft told narrative about Alvin Brown's ascent into power, does.

What numbers? We haven't even seen how many Republicans and Democrats turned out and who they voted for in the thread.

Cheshire Cat

#19
You would have to get those numbers from the SOE's office CityLife.  In the end remember that this race was on the surface a non partisan race.  Underneath that however there is always a push on the part of the two major parties to get a member representing their party into office.  In recent years the Republicans have managed to put most of their folks into the office of Mayor.  Initial polling always had Hogan way out in front and that led to a bit too much comfort in his ability to win.  When Mike talks the numbers he is speaking to the known numbers that reflect party voting patterns as determined over past elections regardless of who was running for office.  Those numbers are updated for candidates and campaigns via the polling organizations they employ.  The Black community is almost exclusively Democrat so they will support Dem candidates when they come out to vote and they will come out very strong in support of a Black candidate and will almost always vote Dem.
Diane Melendez
We're all mad here!