2010 Atlantic hurricane season

Started by gatorback, February 12, 2010, 05:43:03 AM

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fsujax

#30
July 15, 2010, 04:00:06 PM
well, we will see!!

reednavy

#31
July 15, 2010, 04:40:25 PM
Quote from: fsujax on July 15, 2010, 04:00:06 PM
well, we will see!!
yep, but things are chaning in the Atlantic and we're likely going to see the gates open over the next week or so for the African wave train.
Jacksonville: We're not vertically challenged, just horizontally gifted!

gatorback

#32
July 16, 2010, 11:25:08 PM Last Edit: July 16, 2010, 11:39:49 PM by gatorback
Oh heavens, is it time to start watching the Cape Verde region again? My question is:

why would dust suppress convection in this region?

http://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1279339661-HATT20US.TXT.html.en
'As a sinner I am truly conscious of having often offended my Creator and I beg him to forgive me, but as a Queen and Sovereign, I am aware of no fault or offence for which I have to render account to anyone here below.'   Mary, queen of Scots to her jailer, Sir Amyas Paulet; October 1586

buckethead

#33
July 17, 2010, 06:36:46 AM
I watch daily. It seems every wave coming off the coast of Africa dies out as soon as it gets over the Atlantic. The water temp is not particularly high, but neither is it cool.

There hasn't been a prevailing high in the region either. Still hoping for some nice storms to form that can bring some sizable surf!

jandar

#34
July 17, 2010, 09:05:41 AM
Just goes to show that man still doesn't know crap about nature, and is sometimes too arrogant to think that he does.

reednavy

#35
July 17, 2010, 10:09:13 AM
Quote from: gatorback on July 16, 2010, 11:25:08 PM
Oh heavens, is it time to start watching the Cape Verde region again? My question is:

why would dust suppress convection in this region?

http://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1279339661-HATT20US.TXT.html.en

The Saharan dust plumes are nothing but dry, stable air and any tropical wave that rune into it is almost assured a quick death.

It is also still early in the season, especially the CV season which ramps up in early August and goes to mid-September. People keep thinking this season is going to bust, well, we're only about 20% through the cycle and we all saw how quick things can change in August and we all know his name, Charley. Plus, some people harp on numbers, well, 1992 proved it only takes one and we're done.
Jacksonville: We're not vertically challenged, just horizontally gifted!

gatorback

#36
July 20, 2010, 05:52:32 AM Last Edit: July 20, 2010, 06:05:48 AM by gatorback
You are right, the atmosphere and the ocean conditions are in shape for a busy August/Sept/Oct/Nov. In fact, we have several tropical waves currently and hopefully, none of them will turn into Bonnie. The one around the lesser Antilles is getting better organized; however, looks pretty big.

I just reread Andrew on Wikipedia. Interesting...
'As a sinner I am truly conscious of having often offended my Creator and I beg him to forgive me, but as a Queen and Sovereign, I am aware of no fault or offence for which I have to render account to anyone here below.'   Mary, queen of Scots to her jailer, Sir Amyas Paulet; October 1586

keywest09

#37
July 20, 2010, 06:07:00 AM
We do not want to see any storms come anywhere near anyone.  Please keep them away from Key West and the Florida keys.. ::) ::) ::)

Traveller

#38
July 22, 2010, 12:54:00 PM
The disturbance near the Bahamas is now a tropical depression and is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm by tomorrow.  The forecast path is straight through Keys and the Gulf.  Looks like it's expected to move pretty fast, though.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents

gatorback

#39
July 22, 2010, 06:20:55 PM Last Edit: July 22, 2010, 06:22:37 PM by gatorback
Tropical Storm Bonnie is born! I'm so happy. The storm is huge. Get ready keywest.
'As a sinner I am truly conscious of having often offended my Creator and I beg him to forgive me, but as a Queen and Sovereign, I am aware of no fault or offence for which I have to render account to anyone here below.'   Mary, queen of Scots to her jailer, Sir Amyas Paulet; October 1586

fsujax

#40
July 22, 2010, 06:38:26 PM
sure wish we could get some rain....but it seems to be too far south. :-(

Timkin

#41
July 22, 2010, 06:56:11 PM
The rain would hurt my feelings at all .

reednavy

#42
July 22, 2010, 08:57:25 PM
Waste of a name unless she annihilates New Orleans. ;)
Jacksonville: We're not vertically challenged, just horizontally gifted!

cayohueso

#43
July 22, 2010, 09:26:29 PM
I remember another year that started with Bonnie...to be followed by Charlie, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne.

reednavy

#44
July 22, 2010, 10:27:57 PM
He was CHARLEY!

Sorry, I get defensive about my favorite hurricane.
Jacksonville: We're not vertically challenged, just horizontally gifted!
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