Best resource BY FAR on the housing meltdown...

Started by Driven1, February 13, 2008, 08:41:03 PM

Driven1

www.patrick.net

btw...here, we have not started to see it yet...we are in the 1st phase...DENIAL...that's why homes aren't moving and prices aren't coming down precipitously. 

i am genuinely concerned.  not panicked, but concerned.  b/c i know the RE market is like every other capital market.  when you have HUGE runups (unprecedented runup), you HAVE to have a big drop.

read this (Housing Meltdown) to understand why...http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_06/b4070040767516.htm?ref=patrick.net

btw...IMO, there is NO REASON UNDER THE SUN that the homebuilders should be rallying (up over 100% in the last month or so)...no fundamental reason...ESPECIALLY builders like Standard Pacific that have 40% of their work in CA...still a lot of pain to come...both here and nationwide.

last btw...what really pisses me off is how the gov't is trying to step in and stop the losses...capitalism without failures is the worst kind of socialism!

gatorback

the first phase is "precontemplation" we don't even "see" as a problem.
'As a sinner I am truly conscious of having often offended my Creator and I beg him to forgive me, but as a Queen and Sovereign, I am aware of no fault or offence for which I have to render account to anyone here below.'   Mary, queen of Scots to her jailer, Sir Amyas Paulet; October 1586