Jacksonville #3 Most Overpriced Market

Started by Dapperdan, December 13, 2009, 04:37:56 PM

mtraininjax

Houses are like other assets, only worth what someone is willing to pay for it.
And, that $115 will save Jacksonville from financial ruin. - Mayor John Peyton

"This is a game-changer. This is what I mean when I say taking Jacksonville to the next level."
-Mayor Alvin Brown on new video boards at Everbank Field

JaxNative68

tell that to the people still trying to sell their houses for what the purchased them for a couple of years ago.

mtraininjax

Quotetell that to the people still trying to sell their houses for what the purchased them for a couple of years ago.

Like I said, people will only buy assets for what they are worth TODAY, forget a couple of years ago. Heck Gold was 600 bucks an ounce a couple of years ago and its well over 1000 bucks now. Perhaps the people who bought homes should have bought gold with their great wealth.
And, that $115 will save Jacksonville from financial ruin. - Mayor John Peyton

"This is a game-changer. This is what I mean when I say taking Jacksonville to the next level."
-Mayor Alvin Brown on new video boards at Everbank Field

JaxNative68


BridgeTroll

Apparently people forgot that a house is a long term investment.  Buying and selling over the short term increases your risk of loss.  Stay in your home for twenty years and you are likely to profit.
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

Dog Walker

Quote from: BridgeTroll on December 18, 2009, 10:30:46 AM
Apparently people forgot that a house is a long term investment.  Buying and selling over the short term increases your risk of loss.  Stay in your home for twenty years and you are likely to profit.

Half right, half wrong.  Houses are a place to LIVE not an investment and if you stay in it long enough you will sell it for more than you paid for it.
When all else fails hug the dog.

BridgeTroll

Notice I said...

QuoteStay in your home for twenty years and you are likely to profit.
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

Dog Walker

That's the half that's right!  My point was that looking on a house as an investment, one that you can "cash in" or borrow against, is one of the things that got our economy into its' present mess.
When all else fails hug the dog.

Bativac

Quote from: mtraininjax on December 17, 2009, 11:54:47 AM
Like I said, people will only buy assets for what they are worth TODAY, forget a couple of years ago. Heck Gold was 600 bucks an ounce a couple of years ago and its well over 1000 bucks now. Perhaps the people who bought homes should have bought gold with their great wealth.

Not to derail the thread - but from what I've heard (and this feeds into the "supply and demand" comment that Seadog made), gold is set to take a big drop in value, too. Recent rises in gold prices have resulted in a proliferation of "gold parties" (where attendees sell off their gold to a "gold buyer") and gold purchasing companies. People are selling so much of their gold at inflated prices that the bottom is bound to drop out of the gold market any day now, just like it did for real estate (though presumably not such a giant drop).

The lesson being exactly what Mtrain mentioned earlier -- assets are worth only what someone is willing to pay for them. The $300K homes in Jacksonville that prospective new homeowners think are only "worth $100k" are gonna sit on the market until A) another sucker comes along or B) the market creeps back up.

finehoe

Interestingly, the just released 6th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey shows Jacksonville as the 14th MOST affordable market in the US:

http://www.newgeography.com/content/001369-housing-unaffordability-public-policy-the-new-demographia-international-housing-affor

BridgeTroll

Great article finehoe...

Interestingly...

QuoteAs in the five previous Surveys, there is a close relationship between housing unaffordability and categories of land use regulation. Virtually all severely unaffordable markets are characterized by “more prescriptive” land use regulation policies (also called “compact city,” “urban consolidation,” “growth management,” or “smart growth”). At the same time, the affordable markets overwhelmingly have “more responsive” land use regulation, in which new residential development is demand driven.
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

buckethead

So are you saying that municipalites which do not inhibit sprawl are more likely to offer a greater supply of affordable housing?

This cannot be! ;)

BridgeTroll

It is heresey here for sure... :)  I am sure that a happy medium could be devised... but I am also sure that there were planners in the severely unaffordable areas thought so too.

This is an issue that I am not sure has been addresses by our resident experts...
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

tufsu1

Quote from: buckethead on January 26, 2010, 01:41:48 PM
So are you saying that municipalites which do not inhibit sprawl are more likely to offer a greater supply of affordable housing?

This cannot be! ;)

regarding housing only, yes....and sadly people rarely look at the whole picture....for example, the Tampa Bay area has relatively low housing costs too, but leads the nation in % of income devoted to housing/transportation combined.

think about it...the saying used to be "drive until you qualify"...but those transportation costs add up real quick....on the opposite end are places like Boston, New York, and San Fran that have astronomiucal housing costs but relatively low transportation costs.

BridgeTroll

Quotebut those transportation costs add up real quick

No doubt.  I would venture a guess that housing cost outpaces transportation costs by a large margin.  If cost is your main housing concern then "you drive until you qualify".
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."