What is the political makeup of Jacksonville by race, class and education?

[David]

I'm curious about the specific makeup of Jacksonville's political demographics and I’m not having much luck finding the answers on the web. I'm only finding general numbers that show how much of the population is registered to each party.

Here's the info I’d like out:

The percentage of Republicans, Democrats and Independents by race.  Just to clarify: the percentage of Caucasians/African-Americans/Hispanics/Asians that are registered to a particular party Example: 30% of Caucasians are registered as Democrats in Duval county, 20% of African Americans are registered as Republicans, etc.

The percentage of lower/middle/upper income class that are affiliated to a particular political party.

The percentage of people of a certain education level that are affiliated to a particular political party.

Any help would be greatly appreciated

[Shine]

Here is what I have from elections data file.  Income/education levels come from geo-demographic overlay, proprietary data.  Using what we have from the elections data file, you can make some assumptions with the Pew Research Foundation data.http://pewresearch.org/

What is your goal with this information?






Pew Research Center -- 2005
http://people-press.org/commentary/?analysisid=114


http://people-press.org/report/?pageid=945

[CS Foltz]

Shine.....it would appear to me that the political makeup of COJ is pretty much inline with the National makeup. In order for the Republican's to gain any ground they need to organize for sure. Libertarians have a better chance based upone what I have seen and heard!

[Shine]

Well, we have more Democrats than Republicans registered in Duval == but, Republicans turn out a much larger percentage of actual voters, so Duval republican candidates take elections, by and large.  Add to that about 2% to 4% of Democrats are "Dixicrats" who have proportionately higher turnout and will vote for Rs.  Obama lost in Duval by more than 7,000 votes.

The fairly substantial group of "Independent" or better stated NPA and other will generally vote as a reflection of turnout.  So, that group tends to support team red.

"Libertarianism" as a philosophy is gaining ground in some circles -- however, the actual number of registered Libertarians in Duval county is only about 1000.  Its a "Coke and Pepsi" mentality for about 90% of the voters -- they vote their party "identification" plain and simple. I like Dr. Pepper. But, anything other than an R or D and your candidate is DOA.  Don't get me wrong, I am a "liberty" guy -- but the way people vote -- it is what it is. 

This is from the 2006 general --

[CS Foltz]

Shine ....I see the issue! That is why I am registered as a Democrate. That does not mean that I vote the Party ticket by any means. More interested in the best person for the job which takes some research for sure!

[David]

Here is what I have from elections data file.  Income/education levels come from geo-demographic overlay, proprietary data.  Using what we have from the elections data file, you can make some assumptions with the Pew Research Foundation data.http://pewresearch.org/

What is your goal with this information?

Just curious, basically. I was trying to get a detailed explanation on why Jacksonville appears to be 50/50 when it comes to voters registered to each party, but it always seems to lean heavily towards republicans come election time. The only time Jacksonville's votes reflected the ratio of registered dems to republicans was 2008 presidential race and even that still came up shy of breaking 50% for Obama.

I hit on race,education and class because I wanted to see where all the other Democrats fall under... because as a white middle class male democrat, i don't encounter very many of the same outside of my social circle in the boundries of Duval county.

[CS Foltz]

David....that's pretty obvious from my view point....its a matter of turn out! Those that can vote do and the Dem's are hard put to match up number wise against Republicans.....take into account the age groups....most retiree's are registered as Republican and vote and there you go....shear numbers are in their favor! Or at least numbers which will either vote early or show up at the polls.

[FayeforCure]

David....that's pretty obvious from my view point....its a matter of turn out!

Republicans do better on their mail-in ballot numbers. Democrats do better in early voting, and Republicans do better again on election day itself because the older Republicans love the ritual of voting on "election day."

One thing to keep in mind in the 2008 election: Nationwide for the first time more people in the under age 35 group voted as compared to the over 65 group. Since the under 35 group is more Democratic, the trend is definitely democratic.

Another observation that I can share from district 7 ( Rep. John Mica's district):
38% Democratic
40% Republican
22% NPA & Other

The 22% tends to vote Republican even though they call themselves "independent." It's probably natural for them to vote for the party they perceive to be in power ( at least locally).

The media also plays a huge role,.........how many times have they saturated the NE Florida area with the notion that this is a heavily Republican area when clearly the registration numbers show different.

[Shwaz]

Don't forget about the diehard Republicans that are registered Democrat just to vote in the primaries...

[CS Foltz]

That is what skews the numbers up and I could not put my finger on it......makes perfect sense!