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Will Russia invade Ukraine?

Started by BridgeTroll, January 14, 2022, 12:53:36 PM

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BridgeTroll

#480
May 04, 2025, 07:07:52 AM
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-3-2025

QuoteSenior Kremlin officials continue to set informational conditions that could support military operations against Lithuania (and other NATO states) by advancing narratives that deny the sovereignty of Lithuania and other former Soviet states. Independent Russian media outlets Meduza and Agentstvo reported on May 2 that Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov authored the foreword of a new book titled "History of Lithuania," which the "Foreign Relations" publishing arm of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) published in March 2025.[13] Lavrov's foreword claimed that the national policies of Baltic countries, including modern Lithuania, leverage "falsified" historical narratives to "stimulate" Russophobic and anti-Russian sentiments in their domestic audiences.[14] Lavrov claimed that the book seeks to analyze the development of the "lands that were associated with Lithuania at different times." Lithuanian Foreign Minister Kęstutis Budrys stated that the book is a Russian propaganda tool designed to provide the Kremlin with scholarly literature to support its denial of neighboring countries' statehoods and histories separate from that of Russia.[15] Kremlin officials, including Russian President Vladimir Putin, have recently intensified their threats against Europe — particularly the Baltic States — due to Europe's alleged "Russophobia."[16] Kremlin officials have also indicated that Russia views independent states that were once part of the Russian Empire and Soviet Union as part of modern-day Russia.[17]
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

BridgeTroll

#481
May 14, 2025, 08:22:51 AM
https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2025/05/12/beyond-humanity-en

QuoteBeyond humanityUkrainian prisoners of war recount the unspeakable torture they endured in Russian captivity in a new human rights report
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

BridgeTroll

#482
May 31, 2025, 10:20:31 AM
https://jamestown.org/program/russias-hybrid-warfare-tactics-target-the-baltics/

QuoteRussia's hybrid warfare strategy extends beyond its war against Ukraine as it also targets other European frontline states through influence operations, election interference, and intimidation. The Baltic States—Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania—are targeted by Russian hybrid tactics as a daily reality and direct challenge to their sovereignty.
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

BridgeTroll

#483
June 03, 2025, 07:18:53 AM
Kudos and high fives to Ukraine for their remarkable drone strike on Russia... this article details AI and ML drone programs in both Russia and Ukraine...

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/battlefield-ai-revolution-not-here-yet-status-current-russian-and-ukrainian-ai-drone
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

Charles Hunter

#484
June 03, 2025, 09:59:38 AM
I saw a report this morning that there are traffic back-ups all over Russia, as the authorities are stopping traffic to inspect every truck for drones.

Tacachale

#485
June 03, 2025, 11:10:20 AM
Quote from: BridgeTroll on June 03, 2025, 07:18:53 AM
Kudos and high fives to Ukraine for their remarkable drone strike on Russia... this article details AI and ML drone programs in both Russia and Ukraine...

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/battlefield-ai-revolution-not-here-yet-status-current-russian-and-ukrainian-ai-drone

Hahaha you love to see it.
Do you believe that when the blue jay or another bird sings and the body is trembling, that is a signal that people are coming or something important is about to happen?

BridgeTroll

#486
June 03, 2025, 04:02:47 PM
Apparently they hit Putin's pride and joy... the Kerch Bridge. Looks to me like Ukraine does in fact have "cards to play"... despite Trump's wishes to the contrary...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz708lpzgxro
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."

BridgeTroll

#487
June 03, 2025, 04:21:56 PM
Quote from: Tacachale on June 03, 2025, 11:10:20 AM
Quote from: BridgeTroll on June 03, 2025, 07:18:53 AM
Kudos and high fives to Ukraine for their remarkable drone strike on Russia... this article details AI and ML drone programs in both Russia and Ukraine...

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/battlefield-ai-revolution-not-here-yet-status-current-russian-and-ukrainian-ai-drone

Hahaha you love to see it.


The troubling part is... The US is probably more vulnerable to this sort of attack than Russia. Imagine a container at Blount Island unleashing drones to Mayport and NAS...

QuoteThe Rise of the Container War
What makes this strike truly revolutionary is not the damage it caused, impressive as that may be, but the delivery mechanism. Ukrainian operatives launched the drones from converted shipping containers, indistinguishable from the millions of others traversing the globe every day.

This is not a theoretical threat, nor is it an innovation unique to Ukraine; containerized warfare has been under discussion for years. It's such a well-established concept that it has appeared in video games. What Ukraine has done is take the concept out of the military-industrial PowerPoint deck and force it openly into the battlespace.

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-ukraines-drone-strike-changed-the-rules-of-war
In a boat at sea one of the men began to bore a hole in the bottom of the boat. On being remonstrating with, he answered, "I am only boring under my own seat." "Yes," said his companions, "but when the sea rushes in we shall all be drowned with you."
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