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Election Day Live Coverage

Started by Metro Jacksonville, May 19, 2015, 10:00:02 AM


ben america

With the way indys polled, it is hard to tell.

Here is where we are in the turnout tracker at 12:20


icarus

I'm not sure you can rest so easily on the distinction between democrat and republican.  There are still a lot of 'Southern' democrats, i.e. conservative dems that vote both sides of the aisle.

ben america

Tracking Votes Per Minute and seeing a dropoff.


icarus

Quote from: stephendare on May 19, 2015, 12:41:56 PM
Quote from: icarus on May 19, 2015, 12:37:51 PM
I'm not sure you can rest so easily on the distinction between democrat and republican.  There are still a lot of 'Southern' democrats, i.e. conservative dems that vote both sides of the aisle.
true, and in this election more so than the last one (at least anecdotally) Ive met a whole bunch of libertarian leaning republicans who voted alvin.  Those lines are becoming more permeable I suspect.

I wouldn't venture to say that applied to all political races but my experience, after decades in this town, is that the mayoral election in particular can not be judged purely along party lines.  I'm just hoping the GOTV effort doesn't end up with too much collateral damage in the other races.

ben america

Doing some district numbers:

District 2:
Mail: 3,966
EV: 4,148
ED: 3,559
Prov: 2
Total Votes Cast: 11,675

ben america


ben america

This chart shows the number of votes per ten minutes in the March election. It gives you an indication of performance trends.


ben america

Current Turnout Tracking as of 1:30 PM


ben america

Historically Reps do better in the second election.

Here is turnout at 1:30 PM

lemmingplaza


Voter Turnout taken at 1:48PM

ben america

We saw it looking at the numbers earlier in the year. Based on the last three local elections Republican turnout goes up during runoff.

Tacachale

According to my grandfather, Reps also take the lead after 5 pm, when the workday ends. ;)
Do you believe that when the blue jay or another bird sings and the body is trembling, that is a signal that people are coming or something important is about to happen?

ben america

Tracking last election, turnout appears to be trending higher. We will get into where next.


lemmingplaza