2008 Atlantic hurricane season

[gatorback]

wow. These things are popping up everywhere. If you went to diner you came back to Edouardo?

[BridgeTroll]

Looks like Texas could use the rain...

[gatorback]

Fay strengthens and sets eye on Florida.  Guess gas prices are heading up soon.

[BridgeTroll]

Fay strengthens and sets eye on Florida.  Guess gas prices are heading up soon.

Doubtful...

[Traveller]

It appears Jacksonville could be impacted by Fay late Tuesday to early Wednesday.  Still, it looks like we won't get hit nearly as bad as Naples, Cape Coral, or Sarasota.  I'm less worried about gas prices than I am about insurance premiums.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml?

[chipwich]

This things looks awesome.  I can't wait until it passes over our state.

First it's only projected to be a Category 1 storm when it makes landfall.  Also, it is going to bring torrential rainfall to the state for days.  I know we have seen good rainfall this year, but our aquifers, lakes and rivers are still low from years of rain deficiency. 

Until a few weeks ago, South Florida was still in drought.  Lake Okeechobee, the main water source for South and Central Florida's crops is still 3 ft. below normal.  This hurricane should help our state tremendously.  Come-on, it's Florida, we can always use more water.  Hopefully, if we a get a few more of these bad boys this year, we will finally get to stop hearing about how we have to conserve water. 

We live in a giant swamp, I don't want to conserve water unless it is absolutely necessary.  Thanks Fay!  ( I hope it doesn't really do much damage or injury anyone)

PS.  I hope the lights and cable do not go out here as well.  We just want rain.

[BridgeTroll]

This things looks awesome.  I can't wait until it passes over our state.

First it's only projected to be a Category 1 storm when it makes landfall.  Also, it is going to bring torrential rainfall to the state for days.  I know we have seen good rainfall this year, but our aquifers, lakes and rivers are still low from years of rain deficiency. 

Until a few weeks ago, South Florida was still in drought.  Lake Okeechobee, the main water source for South and Central Florida's crops is still 3 ft. below normal.  This hurricane should help our state tremendously.  Come-on, it's Florida, we can always use more water.  Hopefully, if we a get a few more of these bad boys this year, we will finally get to stop hearing about how we have to conserve water. 

We live in a giant swamp, I don't want to conserve water unless it is absolutely necessary.  Thanks Fay!  ( I hope it doesn't really do much damage or injury anyone)

PS.  I hope the lights and cable do not go out here as well.  We just want rain.

I agree...

[Charleston native]

This things looks awesome.  I can't wait until it passes over our state.

First it's only projected to be a Category 1 storm when it makes landfall.  Also, it is going to bring torrential rainfall to the state for days.  I know we have seen good rainfall this year, but our aquifers, lakes and rivers are still low from years of rain deficiency. 

Until a few weeks ago, South Florida was still in drought.  Lake Okeechobee, the main water source for South and Central Florida's crops is still 3 ft. below normal.  This hurricane should help our state tremendously.  Come-on, it's Florida, we can always use more water.  Hopefully, if we a get a few more of these bad boys this year, we will finally get to stop hearing about how we have to conserve water. 

We live in a giant swamp, I don't want to conserve water unless it is absolutely necessary.  Thanks Fay!  ( I hope it doesn't really do much damage or injury anyone)

PS.  I hope the lights and cable do not go out here as well.  We just want rain.

I agree. Let's hope it just stays at a tropical storm...basically having the intensity of normal afternoon thunderstorms. Bring the rain; we can do less with the wind.

[gatorback]

Fay is behind the deaths of 4 people already.  Rip tides/currents or flooding I'm sure. 3 in Haiti, and 1 in the Dominican Republic.  Oh Florida is now in a state of emergency so gas prices are locked in.  To me, what's scary is the track, I'd bet a cat 2 before land fall...waters on this path are hot hot hot.  Remember, Rita or was it Wilma?  And Ivan, that nut...all very costly.

[chipwich]

Fay is behind the deaths of 4 people already.  Rip tides/currents or flooding I'm sure. 3 in Haiti, and 1 in the Dominican Republic.  Oh Florida is now in a state of emergency so gas prices are locked in.  To me, what's scary is the track, I'd bet a cat 2 before land fall...waters on this path are hot hot hot.  Remember, Rita or was it Wilma?  And Ivan, that nut...all very costly.

Good point Gator.  Let's just pray the winds stay pretty low and it just sucks up alot of gulf moisture.  I really hope no more people get hurt in the path of this storm.

[reednavy]

Ok Duvalans, here is your weatherman to tell you some stuff. I am a meteorologist btw, if noone knew that yet.

We are likely to have Fay on us by Tues. evening, and Wed. could be a long day. Depending on it's strength at landfall, will determine the wind speeds here. Right now, it appears we will have sustained 40 to 50, with gusts up to near hurricane force, for at least 6 hours minimum at some point Wednesday. If this verifys, the bridges will be closed for sure, and the city will shut down basically. Considering we'd have mainly South winds, the Buckman, Fuller Warren, Mathews, and Dames Point bridges are highly susceptable to trouble.

If you have larger trees, inspect them today, and look for any loose branches, weak spots, etc. This is to insure that you won't have major damage from branches. Now, if you ahve pines, watch them carefully, it is extremely wet in the soil now, which is not good for any tree.

[adamh0903]

The models don't seem to have a good handle on the track anymore. The 06Z runs of the GFDL and GFS as well as some others seem to be picking up the on the ULL in the Gomex pulling away to the SW faster than first thought, or maybe the fact that Sat imagery looks like two different CoC'c trying to form. It looks to me like the JSL loop seems to have another CoC or MLC near 20N and 77.5W. This could be a reason there is disagreement in the models, it looks like for now the NHC has stuck with a track close the what it has been for past 24-48 hours, but if this trend continues, I think we will see a track shift the E at the 5:00p ADV

[adamh0903]

The 12z runs seem to be in a little better agreement, with now only the NGP and UKMET being outsiders.  Just a 50 mile change in forecast track could mean a completely different Fay.

[David]

the latest models are showing a shift to the west.


It's always too early to tell when it's 3-4 days out. I like to save the predictions to my personal journal and compare them later to the actual track. The most accurate forecast i've ever documented was the national hurricane center's prediction for hurricane Katrina, they had it right on the money in terms of landfall and intensity. This one seems like there's too many variables still....but hey, i'm no meteorologist, just an amauture storm chaser

What site are you guys getting the individual forecast models from?

[reednavy]

The 12z runs seem to be in a little better agreement, with now only the NGP and UKMET being outsiders.  Just a 50 mile change in forecast track could mean a completely different Fay.

You talk my language, I have got to meet you!