Obama vs Romney

[British Shoe Company]

OBAMA running away with the election in the Metro Jax poll...

I thought it would be closer....

[Ocklawaha]

I think the poll is more of a reflection of our rather liberal readership then it is a snap shot of Jacksonville or the nation. I've just got this feeling Romney is going to win in a huge upset victory.

[tufsu1]

^ I think Mr. Dare predicted an Obama landslide earlier in the year....something like winning with 57% of the vote

[tufsu1]

^ I think Mr. Dare predicted an Obama landslide earlier in the year....something like winning with 57% of the vote

62 % and I stand by it.

I remember that you were over 60% last year, but I thought you reduced that some this year

as for my prediction, I'll stick with Obama getting just over 50%

[Seraphs]

Obama wins!!!

[fsquid]

^ I think Mr. Dare predicted an Obama landslide earlier in the year....something like winning with 57% of the vote

62 % and I stand by it.

no one has won with 62% of the popular vote.  I think the highest was LBJ over Goldwater at 59%

I'll say Obama takes 50% of the popular vote and 302 electoral votes.

[SunKing]

We can already see that the early voting and absentee ballots are breaking outrageously for the dems,

How could you possibly know this?

And as for the election, I think it is naive to think that the storm has any impact on voters decisions.  Is a voter in Florida or Ohio going to change their mind based on watching AC on the CNN?  Are they going to suddenly vote for Obama so he can stop the next storm?
Cmon man

[fsquid]

^ I think Mr. Dare predicted an Obama landslide earlier in the year....something like winning with 57% of the vote

62 % and I stand by it.

no one has won with 62% of the popular vote.  I think the highest was LBJ over Goldwater at 59%

I'll say Obama takes 50% of the popular vote and 302 electoral votes.

here are the actual stats.

LBJ, Roosevelt, Nixon, and Harding all broke 60%.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin

thanks for the link.  Makes me believe anymore that Obama won't come anywhere near your number unless we have a turnout like back in the 60s!

[PeeJayEss]

OBAMA running away with the election in the Metro Jax poll...

I thought it would be closer....

I think the poll is more of a reflection of our rather liberal readership then it is a snap shot of Jacksonville or the nation. I've just got this feeling Romney is going to win in a huge upset victory.

The poll is not "who are you voting for" but "who do you think will win", which are quite different questions. While the electorate looks to be fairly even in the majority of polling (which is crazy, how is it that the American public is always so closely split??), the national polls for this same question are split about the same as the metrojax poll is. About 2/3 think Obama and 1/3 think Romney.

[tufsu1]

We can already see that the early voting and absentee ballots are breaking outrageously for the dems,

How could you possibly know this?

because early votes are tracked...and in many states, results are being released.

That said, Dems always do well in early voting and Repubs do well with absentee....from what I'm hearing, Obama is dominating the early voting in FL and the % gap in absentee ballots here so far is smaller than it was in 2008

[British Shoe Company]

27-20 is a football score not a Metro Jax Presidential poll result.  If we cannot get the 27-20 changed let's request moving the poll to sports.....

I think Romney will win Florida.

[copperfiend]

We're just four days away from the election and swing state polling shows Obama ahead in almost every state. Granted, Romney is within the margin of error but Obama is still ahead. The last poll CNN posted has Obama ahead by 5 in Ohio. The only poll I have seen in the last few weeks that shows Romney ahead in Ohio is Rasmussen, which is run by a guy on the Fox News payroll. Romney can win Florida and Virginia but if he loses Ohio, he is toast.

[SunKing]

I thought that they just released the party affiliation of the voter not the way they voted?

[Cheshire Cat]

You are correct SunKing. 











Diane M.

[carpnter]

We can already see that the early voting and absentee ballots are breaking outrageously for the dems,

How could you possibly know this?

because early votes are tracked...and in many states, results are being released.

That said, Dems always do well in early voting and Repubs do well with absentee....from what I'm hearing, Obama is dominating the early voting in FL and the % gap in absentee ballots here so far is smaller than it was in 2008

I think you assertion that results of the early votes being released is highly unlikely.  I will acknowledge that there is polling of people who are voting early and they have the poll results but I doubt that they are releasing the actual results.