Amtrak Profitable in 2020?

Started by Steve, December 04, 2019, 11:34:25 AM

Steve

Interesting changes going on at Amtrak. Some love it, some hate it. Here's one article (but there are plenty out there):

https://usa.streetsblog.org/2019/11/11/amtrak-wants-to-compete-with-planes-and-roads/

The idea is to focus on city to city routes, not trips across the country. But, he's doing it through some pretty aggressive cost cutting, like more airline style meals versus what you typically see on a train.

Personally, I'm a fan of Richard Anderson (CEO). I watched his tenure at Delta and was beyond impressed with the job he did. It didn't
happen overnight, but he got the company where he wanted it to be and then some.

Only concern: Once profitable, he wants to use the federal funds for infrastructure investment. Logical, but what happens if folks in congress sees Amtrak as profitable on it's own and doesn't continue to authorize federal funding? Not ideal, but I'm sure this has been thought of.

Thoughts?

thelakelander

I don't know how things will pan out long term with congress but Amtrak placing a higher priority on shorter routes, city-to-city routes would be big for Jax and having them return downtown. Perhaps that Coastal Link plan gets fired back up or at least pushes Virgin Trains to explore an extension up Florida's East Coast faster.
"A man who views the world the same at 50 as he did at 20 has wasted 30 years of his life." - Muhammad Ali

Josh

A few months ago my family and I took the Amtrak Downeaster from Boston to Portland, Maine and I thought it was great; surprisingly comparable to my train experiences in Europe and Japan. The tickets were cheap, and the stations were easy to get in and out of while being ultimately close to our point of departure and destination. Obviously the the Northeast is where rail is most ideal and driving Amtrak's overall profits, but it would sure be nice to get a taste of decent intercity rail down here.

marcuscnelson

I think it would be nice to see Amtrak expand to handle the every-single-station routes and give Virgin a chance to actually be High Speed Rail that focuses on the larger points. A Jacksonville-Orlando-Tampa-Miami network, that Amtrak fills the gaps of.

And despite it likely being a pipe dream, I would love to be able to take a train from UF to wherever in Florida.
So, to the young people fighting in this movement for change, here is my charge: march in the streets, protest, run for school committee or city council or the state legislature. And win. - Ed Markey

Kerry

Back in October we took Amtrak fyom Seattle to Oakland.  It was a great vacation within our vacation.  However, the route was about as inefficient as it can get.  It meandered all over the place.  While that was okay for leisure travelers like us it was woefully incapable of being a transit option.  They should just start running track diwn the medians of rural interstates.

This is the New Mexico Railrunner between Santa Fe and Albuquerque.

https://youtu.be/Tx_7K_W4A1I
Third Place

blizz01

I have a two week global pass in Europe coming up.  It's just gonna piss me off when I get back.

ProjectMaximus

I've taken Amtrak between Mia-Orl twice this year. Decent enough...there are delays often and it ends up being about 50% longer than driving, but as long as I'm traveling alone and don't need a car when I'm in Orlando I'll take the longer ride over the shorter drive.

Kerry

Quote from: blizz01 on December 04, 2019, 05:59:16 PM
I have a two week global pass in Europe coming up.  It's just gonna piss me off when I get back.

Hopefully the strikes in France don't derail you.
Third Place

bl8jaxnative

Quote from: Steve on December 04, 2019, 11:34:25 AM
Interesting changes going on at Amtrak. Some love it, some hate it. Here's one article (but there are plenty out there):

https://usa.streetsblog.org/2019/11/11/amtrak-wants-to-compete-with-planes-and-roads/

Start of the article:

"
Amtrak could become profitable as soon as next year
"

I stopped there.  Anyone who takes serious the idea of Amtrak becoming profitable next year is talking out of their rear.   Willing to say most anything.

Amtrak's accounting is atrocious; possibly criminal.  Using proper accounting, last year Amtrak lost something more like $2.5 billion with revenues about around a billion and a quarter.



Steve

Quote from: bl8jaxnative on December 06, 2019, 10:42:15 AM
Using proper accounting, last year Amtrak lost something more like $2.5 billion with revenues about around a billion and a quarter.

Source? Amtrak's Auditor is Ernst and Young. I'm sure they'd like to know the source of your statement.

Between this and the Brightline/Virgin Trains comments, do you own material stock in a Bus company?

Tacachale

Quote from: Steve on December 06, 2019, 11:26:16 AM
Quote from: bl8jaxnative on December 06, 2019, 10:42:15 AM
Using proper accounting, last year Amtrak lost something more like $2.5 billion with revenues about around a billion and a quarter.

Source? Amtrak's Auditor is Ernst and Young. I'm sure they'd like to know the source of your statement.

Between this and the Brightline/Virgin Trains comments, do you own material stock in a Bus company?

Lol, "proper accounting" = "anonymous post on a forum."
Do you believe that when the blue jay or another bird sings and the body is trembling, that is a signal that people are coming or something important is about to happen?

Peter Griffin

Quote from: Tacachale on December 06, 2019, 01:12:44 PM
Quote from: Steve on December 06, 2019, 11:26:16 AM
Quote from: bl8jaxnative on December 06, 2019, 10:42:15 AM
Using proper accounting, last year Amtrak lost something more like $2.5 billion with revenues about around a billion and a quarter.

Source? Amtrak's Auditor is Ernst and Young. I'm sure they'd like to know the source of your statement.

Between this and the Brightline/Virgin Trains comments, do you own material stock in a Bus company?

Lol, "proper accounting" = "anonymous post on a forum."

this entire site is people angrily shooting the breeze and making wild guesses

Peter Griffin

Quote from: sanmarcomatt on December 06, 2019, 02:51:06 PM
Quote from: Peter Griffin on December 06, 2019, 02:28:50 PM

this entire site is people angrily shooting the breeze and making wild guesses

You forgot blanket statements.

I'm the guiltiest party of all ;)

bl8jaxnative

Quote from: Steve on December 06, 2019, 11:26:16 AM
Quote from: bl8jaxnative on December 06, 2019, 10:42:15 AM
Using proper accounting, last year Amtrak lost something more like $2.5 billion with revenues about around a billion and a quarter.

Source? Amtrak's Auditor is Ernst and Young. I'm sure they'd like to know the source of your statement.

Between this and the Brightline/Virgin Trains comments, do you own material stock in a Bus company?


The issues with Amtraks' accounting are well documented and out there.  They're commonly pointed out by everyone in the industry, both those pro and against. 

It's a strong statement.   There's a lot to it.  To give you a taste, Amtrak doesn't use depreciation for it's capital.  Something that other companies can not legally NOT do and for good reasons.