Antarctic breakup source found

[chipwich]

Yes.   I take issue with the accuracy of the amplification effect  current climate models are trying to justify.  Those models are trying to extrapolate amplification effects of excess CO2.  I fear they may be weighted with too many negative feedback loops and not enough other effects or variables that may create a counter-effect to warming.

IPCC scientists are asking governments and the public to place all of their trust in their scientist's computer models of amplification.  There are too many variables in play for those models (essentially similar to economic regressions) to be very accurate. They are trying to pin the entire cause of climate change on the change in CO2.  What if CO2 actually has very little effect on climate?  What if other factors are to blame such as changing ocean currents or changes in upper atmospheric pressures?

Again, I agree carbon dioxide could very well be a contributing cause of climate change, but disagree on the magnitude of its amplified effects as those are merely (at this time) just computer models that simply aren't accurate.

A good example of long range forecasts can be seen in this year's developing El Nino.  Two months ago, climate models and all observations pointed to the development of a very strong El Nino this fall.  This would have been amazing news for drought stricken California.  Fast forward to today and models no longer predict a strong El Nino at all.  Many climatologists now feel it may be a rather weak event.  So we have just one short term forecast on just one slice of the Pacific ocean and it feel apart for no real discernible reason.  It all made sense that a strong El Nino should form given the data provided.  It however failed to materialize.  So, how can we believe models that are telling us what will happen in 10, 20, 50 or 100 years?

So far, from what I have read, temperature rises just have not kept up with the climate models.