Census 2013 Released - Jax at 1.4M for metro

[simms3]

Duval - 885,855 (up from 879,736 in 2012, 0.7% growth)
St. Johns - 209,647 (up from 202,328, 3.6% growth)
Clay - 196,399 (up from 194,215, 1.1% growth)
Nassau - 75,710 (up from 74,701, 1.4% growth)
Baker - 27,013 (down from 27,060, -0.1% growth)

Total - 1,394,624 (up from 1,378,040 in 2012, 1.2% growth)

2010 Census the metro was at 1,345,596 people, so in a little over 3 years has grown by 49,028 people, or around 1.2% per year (~12% per annum) since then.  Growth in the metro and particularly in formerly fast-growing counties has dramatically slowed.  Similar story in Atlanta, as well.


In terms of City Limits populations, the 2013 numbers aren't out yet.  SF's will be the same as its county, making it more populous than Jacksonville in 2012, though not likely more populous than Jax in 2013...the difference this year will be a mere few thousand.  Meanwhile, Jax is matching growth with Indy and Columbus, OH and all three are about to be lapped by Charlotte and Fort Worth.

I predict 2020 will look like:

1) NYC
2) LA
3) Chicago
4) Houston
5) Phoenix
6) Philadelphia
7) San Antonio (1.47 million)
8 ) San Diego (1.37 million)
9) Dallas (1.35 million)
10) San Jose (1.05 million)
11) Austin (950K)
12) San Francisco (900K)
13) Fort Worth (880K)
14) Jacksonville (870K)
15) Charlotte (865K)
16) Indianapolis (860K)
17) Columbus (845K)

...totally unscientific

[mtraininjax]

Simms - Hey to you and your family! My wife had a great meeting with your father on some very NICE Real Estate here in Jax, hope to see you soon!

I had a friend, a native of Indiana, another Realtor, try and tell me that Jacksonville should follow what Indianapolis did and improve the downtown. To which I replied, Indy already had MAJOR corporations and Educational institutions downtown that helped fuel this growth. Eli-Lilly and IUPUI were already well established and with "vision" of downtown leaders and helluva lot of money, they were able to cleanup and develop downtown Indy. All Jax needs is more residents to live downtown to prove it is worthy of more commercial. Chicken and Egg thing. One Spark coming soon will be great to provide more focus downtown. I think downtown will come back, I am not worried about Durbin, Mandarin, San Souci, the Beaches, there will be infill there and Sleiman strip malls, but the real growth is in the surrounding counties as evidenced by the NEFBA reports of subdivisions going up and in. Nassau could be the next St. Johns with all that land available and the Northside of Jax building up.

[JayBird]

Nassau could be the next St. Johns with all that land available and the Northside of Jax building up.

Someone at work the other day was just telling me about a huge development going through planning now, 24,000 homes in Yulee. Calling it East Nassau I believe. Could Yulee be the next Middleburg/Orange Park?

[spuwho]

Nassau could be the next St. Johns with all that land available and the Northside of Jax building up.

Someone at work the other day was just telling me about a huge development going through planning now, 24,000 homes in Yulee. Calling it East Nassau I believe. Could Yulee be the next Middleburg/Orange Park?

With Simms showing our population only growing at just over 1%, who is going to live in these 24,000 new homes?

More inventory coming online with Tamaya on Beach as well.

All the new apartments being built in and around SJTC.

Again I ask, where are these people coming from if our growth rate is so small?

[thelakelander]

We're just moving people from existing established neighborhoods and aging areas of town. Tamaya's next 15 years may be great, but Englewood.....not so much.

[ProjectMaximus]

New nuclear carrier? 

[mtraininjax]

If the Mayor and city leaders don't do something about the road systems (gas tax), people will move back to the older neighborhoods, because the traffic will mimic Blanding Blvd in Clay County.