Election Day: What If Jacksonville Suddenly Woke Up?

[danem]

Speaking of turnout, this is another interesting map:

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/FL/Duval/28068/43325/en/vt.html

Is that the beaches getting 50% turnout?

[JeffreyS]

Alvin's success tonight could inspire some voter turn out for the run off. Democrat who did not previously believe there was a chance. Wishful thinking I guess.

[Lucasjj]

The Weavers were just shown on channel 4 and were very outspoken about the voter turnout. I am surprised how vocal they are, and I am sure there will some backlash.

[buckethead]

Runoff: Mulaney votes go to Hogan, Moran votes split, Lee votes go to Brown, NPA votes split.

Results: Mayor Hogan.

Read em and weep.

[JeffreyS]

Runoff: Mulaney votes go to Hogan, Moran votes split, Lee votes go to Brown, NPA votes split.

Results: Mayor Hogan.

Read em and weep.

The wild card would be if they debate there will be no denying who is more capable.

[hillary supporter]

with about 500 votes remaining to be counted and Brown up about 2500, looks like he will face Hogan.
The big story was low turnout.

[Lucasjj]

They said that 48% of the voters were democrats. Hopefully that turnout will increase for Brown with the run off and enough Moran supporters can also jump in to support him.

[brainstormer]

^ I see this as a positive.  Democrats obviously want change and hopefully this creates momentum.  Like it or not, race will play a part in the runoff.  Perhaps African Americans will seize the moment.  I'm also guessing most Moran voters will vote Brown.  I know I will be.  Anyone but Hogan!

[fieldafm]

This is going to be a repeat of Peyton/Glover... I bet Hogan gets 58% of the vote in May.

Mullaney's negative ads did this city in b/c it turned off people to Moran.  The Jacksonville we want has suffered a big setback today.

[cityimrov]

Who will be our next mayor?  That's simple.  Whoever gets the 70% of eligible voting adults who live in Duval country to vote, wins.  

If neither candidate can get those 70% of nonvoters to vote, it's probably a Hogan win.

The average adult who lived in Jacksonville didn't vote today.  It's as simple as that. 

[jcjohnpaint]

I'm not done fighting!

[uptowngirl]

mullaney sucks- killed jax, Hogan, more of the same and sheeple of the burbs voted it. Even in the Hood the self haters voted for losers like gaffney what can you do? Oh wait I am smart and get it I can LEAVE JAX and know I have better. Hell have been nagged to leave by my INTERNATIONAL company....Time to go, and it  certainly cannot be too soon. Living all around the world these are the most ignorant voters I have seen. Even my own friends and neighbors did not show up to vote. And so many I talked to tonight did not know even more than one candidate. Welcome to the next four yrs of Peyton #3! Sad, but in this day and age you cannot fix ignorance like this.....

[Mueller]

This is going to be a repeat of Peyton/Glover... I bet Hogan gets 58% of the vote in May.

Mullaney's negative ads did this city in b/c it turned off people to Moran.  The Jacksonville we want has suffered a big setback today.

I was all set to go to bed, but then I decided to check here.  I think I'm going to be sick.  What is wrong with the people of this town?

[fsujax]

It's over. I am out of of here. Looking for new jobs tomorrow! This is truly a sad night.

[stjr]

Some takeaways on this result:

-Money doesn't always win elections.  The two biggest fund raisers lost.
-Endorsements don't always count for much.  Moran, in particular, had most of the big ones and still lost.
-Having a rock solid core base that will give you unflinching and blind love regardless of your deficiencies goes a long way to make up for lack of money, organization, endorsements, and attending public forums.  Hogan and Brown missed more forums and debates than Mullaney and Moran and yet here we are.
-Low voter turnout depreciates the chances for moderate-middle candidates.
-Differentiate from all the candidates, not just one of them. Neither Mullaney or Moran took on Hogan or Brown as aggressively as they pursued each other.  This hurt them and helped Hogan and Brown.
-Run a more aggressive campaign and start it earlier.  Mullaney and Moran, perhaps, were too "polite" and then when they weren't it was toward each other.  I think Moran especially missed an opportunity to more aggressively hammer her opponents and exploit their weaknesses on a variety of issues.
-I thought Moran, in particular, had weak TV ads.  She didn't look the camera in the eye, didn't come right out and say give me your vote, I need it, or otherwise tried to engage the viewer.  Hogan and Moran both had ads in this vein.  And, I didn't think they were successful enough in distinguishing her on her strong points and her opposition's weak points.  Her robo-calls seemed more aggressive.
-If Hogan wins, be prepared for shadow mayor and Tea Party zealot, Tony Sleiman, to cash in his chips.
-Brown's support by the map mirrored Glover's against Peyton.  Be prepared for a possible rerun.  Pundits are already saying Brown must run a bigger campaign to win the uphill battle against Hogan.  I don't give him much of a chance to pull it off but then I didn't see him making the runoff either.
-Don't ever underestimate the shallowness of the voters (and non-voters), especially in Jacksonville.